There’s 40% Chance Of Apple Acquiring Netflix, Says Report
We are only a day into 2018 but we already have a story of who or what Apple may be about to buy. Following the passing of US President Trump’s corporate tax cut, Citi analysts Jim Suva and Asiya Merchant both believe that Apple has around a 40% possibility of buying media outfit Netflix.
Apple currently has around $252 billion in cash but with much of that housed offshore, Apple has so far been unable to bring it to bear.
That could change following the arrival of the new tax situation, with Apple and other large companies now able to bring money back onshore without the huge tax bill that would have previously followed. Both Suva and Merchant ranked potential merger and acquisition targets for Apple towards the end of 2017, and sent a note out to clients in December. In that note Netflix is deemed the most likely target of Apple’s huge buying power.
With Netflix seeing a 40% chance of a buyout, Disney – before its own acquisition of Fox at least – was seen as a target that had around a 30% chance of being snapped up by Apple. However, it’s the Netflix connection that makes most sense given Apple’s keenness to bring its own content to iTunes.
“The firm has too much cash – nearly $250 billion – growing at $50 billion a year. This is a good problem to have,” Suva and Merchant told clients. “Historically, Apple has avoided repatriating cash to the US to avoid high taxation. As such, tax reform may allow Apple to put this cash to use. With over 90% of its cash sitting overseas, a one-time 10% repatriation tax would give Apple $220 billion for M&A or buybacks.”
With Apple also having more money than it likely knows what to do with, a buyout of Netflix may not seem as crazy as it otherwise could have.